Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.151322 0.167643 0.184341 0.202665 0.222165 0.242257 0.264486
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.128715 0.151318 0.175319 0.202566 0.232501 0.264256 0.300357
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112812 0.139735 0.169256 0.203736 0.242609 0.284806 0.333796
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.098964 0.128763 0.162424 0.202757 0.249273 0.300771 0.361622
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.090463 0.122943 0.160596 0.206703 0.260892 0.321855 0.394918
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.081687 0.115905 0.156587 0.207447 0.268285 0.337747 0.422069
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073890 0.109340 0.152524 0.207574 0.274504 0.351954 0.447061
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066468 0.102606 0.147701 0.206287 0.278631 0.363410 0.468636
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.061181 0.098192 0.145398 0.207770 0.285843 0.378340 0.494201
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058311 0.096742 0.146674 0.213573 0.298250 0.399459 0.527165
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053732 0.092593 0.144148 0.214302 0.304186 0.412654 0.550600
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050732 0.090421 0.144046 0.218000 0.313743 0.430216 0.579326
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046929 0.086958 0.142183 0.219495 0.320743 0.445011 0.605244
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042836 0.082761 0.139074 0.219154 0.325273 0.456699 0.627395
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039577 0.079572 0.137170 0.220266 0.331577 0.470559 0.652245
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035943 0.075506 0.133787 0.219175 0.334862 0.480540 0.672266
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034120 0.074188 0.134255 0.223299 0.344977 0.499174 0.703127
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031526 0.071397 0.132401 0.224067 0.350552 0.511992 0.726725
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028981 0.068475 0.130188 0.224193 0.355172 0.523539 0.748726
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026286 0.065062 0.127043 0.222834 0.357670 0.532277 0.767144
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024483 0.063083 0.125987 0.224393 0.364085 0.546082 0.792033
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023807 0.063118 0.128055 0.230500 0.376774 0.568137 0.827567
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.022046 0.060965 0.126544 0.231265 0.382037 0.580450 0.850646